Terps vs Villanova: Last Chance For Good Impression

The headline is true.  Tomorrow is the last chance for the Terps to make a statement outside of the ACC.  Villanova boasts a 15-1 record and is ranked #7 in the country.  A win in Philadelphia will erase many doubts about this year's Terps.  A victory would expunge all of the near misses the Terps have endured thus far. 

Thanks to the good folks at StatsSheets.com; I'd like to offer a side by side comparison of the matchup:

MARY 79.2 48.2 63.1 33.3 42.4 14.4 28.0 17.4 14.5 7.3 6.2 16.8
Nova 77.9 46.1 77.1 36.3 39.5 12.1 27.4 16.1 12.4 7.4 4.5 16.6
MARY Opponents 62.2 36.6 69.2 30.3 34.9 12.2 22.6 11.5 17.1 6.2 3.8 20.8
Nova Opponents 61.8 38.0 68.0 28.7 31.5 10.4 21.1 12.7 13.2 6.1 4.1 21.2

The teams appear quite even don't they?  The Terps actually have the edge in Points, FG%, Blocks (BPG), Assists and Rebounds.  Villanova has the edge in FT%, 3P%, Turnovers (TPG).  The teams are dead even in steals and fouls per game. 

If anything, the Terps appear to have the statistical edge given that they lead in more categories (5-3).  However, Nova's edge in threes, FTs, and turnovers are in arguably the most important statistical categories.

Missing free throws will kill you as we have seen too many times this year.   So will turnovers.  The Terps have gotten much better in the turnover department as the season has worn on, so I feel good there.  What worries me most (outside of FTs) is our penchant for falling in love with the three-pointer.  The Terps were something like 5-18 from beyond the arc against Wake. 

The Terps need to focus on what they do well.  Pound the ball into Jordan Williams down low and let him pass out of the double team to either a cutter or an open shooter.  If we start running and gunning with Nova from deep, they will make us pay.

I think the Terps can win if they are able to harness their nerves and execute from the charity stripe.  Jordan leads the ACC in FT attempts per game.  He needs to start making teams pay for fouling him.  As Mike Gminiski pointed out in the Wake game; Jordan has an excellent stroke.  The problem is between the ears on this one. Williams will need some help from the seniors.  We can ill afford to see Cliff Tucker clanking crucial free throws tomorrow.

As for Nova; they sport three guys who have scored 200 points or more so far this year and they are all guards: Corey Stokes, Corey Fisher and Maalik Wayne.  Fisher and Wayne are not great 3PT shooters (29% and 21% respectively). 

Stokes on the other hand is deadly (46%).  At 6'5", he's a matchup nightmare.  I don't see Mosley able to guard him. I just don't think he is quick enough to check Stokes.  It's going to have to be Tucker or Howard.  Tucker has the tools; but he is going to have to be dedicated for 40 minutes.  Does he have it in him?  Howard will give it his all; but I don't know if he has the quickness and size to really bother Stokes.

National TV awaits.  The Terps are poised for a big win.  They've been building towards pulling one of these games out.  Will it be tomorrow?

Author: Jeremy | 1/14/2011 7:40:27 PM |

Terps Cruise Past Hapless Deacons

In what universe does a team like Maryland shoot its worst FG% of the season and win on Tobacco Road?  Welcome to the ACC circa 2011.   Wake Forest is brutal and they may not be the worst in the conference (that would be reserved for Georgia Tech). The Terps will take it.  Tonight, MD was in desperate need of a win and they [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 1/12/2011 8:27:17 PM |

Wake Forest Thread

Greetings from Silicon Valley! I've been training on the west coast all week; so I've been a bit of the loop on the Soup. Sundays loss at Cameron obviously disappointed; but I believe (like Gregg), that we can take solace in the fact that the Terps played Duke closer at Cameron than any other opponent this year.  We even played better in [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 1/12/2011 3:51:30 PM |

Nothing To Be Upset About... Yet, Still Not Good

The headline sums it up for me. I came away from watching the game shrugging.  We are what we are.  We are a good team with a chance to be very good.  However, our problems are not going to go away.  - All four of our guards are inexperienced and have holes in their games.  - We are horrible at the free throw lin [...] Read More »

Author: Gregg | 1/9/2011 9:18:40 PM |

How the Terps can bookend Duke's win streak

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Author: Ethan | 1/8/2011 2:25:51 PM |

Maryland vs. Colgate Thread

Colgate is terrible.  They are 1-11. The Adonal Foyle years are long gone.  Unfortunately, this game won't provide much of a tune up for Duke this weekend. The only thing to watch for the player rotation that Gary Williams employs.  I wouldn't expect more than 8 guys to play against Duke so the first 8 in tonight will likely be p [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 1/4/2011 10:22:21 AM | Tags: terps, colgate |

Randy Edsall Is The New Head Football Coach Of The Maryland Terrapins

First the vitals; then the rant. - Randy Edsall is 52 years old (3 years older than Mike Leach). - He is a graduate of Syracuse University where he played QB - Connecticut is the only team he has ever coached - His career record is 74-70 - His mentor is Tom Coughlin - His current salary is $1.3MM/year I'm sure Randy Edsall is a fine coa [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 1/2/2011 4:37:10 PM |

Report: HC Announcement Tomorrow; Edsall To Interview Tonight

Chick Hernandez of Comcast Sportsnet DC reports: UCONN HC Randy Edsall is in Maryland. Meeting with some members of search committee. Barring major setback, look for him to be New HC at Maryland. Updated Analysis (Jeremy):  It's really hard to be anything but disappointed by this development.  Edsall may be the "safe" choi [...] Read More »

Author: Gregg | 1/2/2011 11:27:17 AM |

Terps-North Florida Thread

Great day to be a Terp. They sent Fridge out in style and the postgame ceremony was clearly special. Now onto hoops.  Another dominating performance (hopefully) against North Florida. Enjoy Terp fans! [...] Read More »

Author: Gregg | 12/29/2010 4:39:09 PM |

Military Bowl Game Thread

It's the end of an era. It's not the way we all wanted this season to end.  It should have been us laying a whoopin on someone last night in the Champs Sports Bowl in sunny Florida.  Fridge should have left a different, much less ugly way. But it is what it is and this is where we are.  We play East Carolina in the Military Bow [...] Read More »

Author: Gregg | 12/29/2010 7:47:59 AM |
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