Somehow, The Terps Aren't Dead Yet

Joe Lunardi, ESPN's Tournament Oracle, currently lists the Terps as the sixth team to be left out of the Field of 68 in his latest Bracketology update (2/28).  At first glance, that seems ridiculous.  After all, the Terps boast an RPI of 83 and they haven't beaten an opponent in the Top 49 all year.  How is it possible that Lunardi thinks the Terps are still alive for a berth?

Well, consider the following:

- The field has expanded to 68 teams which means that this Terps team would be the 10th team out in a "normal" year.  That sounds plausible.
- The NBA draft is considered one of the weakest ever, so there are no dominant players or teams this year.
- The bubble teams are all pretty terrible.  Teams like Boston College and Clemson are hanging around.  Jay Bilas thinks it will be the worst Tournament field in decades

That's why folks like John Feinstein think that 4 more wins will get the Terps into the dance.  Here's my take on what needs to happen:

1.  The Terps need to win all of their remaining regular season games.  There is no doubt about this.  Beating Miami and UVA is not optional.
2.  The Terps need the 5 seed in the ACCT. For that to happen, Clemson must lose at Duke (no problem there) and VT must beat BC at home (huge hangover potential for VT). 
3.  With a 5 seed, the Terps will play Wake in the 5/12 play-in game and then they will have a rematch against VT in the 4/5 game which they must win.  I think it is essential that the Terps either beat BC or VT since both schools swept Maryland.  Personally, I think it'd be better to play BC since they are also on the bubble and that matchup would be an elimination game. Since there really is no scenario where the Terps can meet BC in the quarterfinal round of the ACCT; it's beat VT or bust.
4.  Root for BC to lose their first round ACCT game.  If they wind up with the 6th seed; it's possible a frisky Georgia Tech team could beat them.  If not, they must lose to FSU in 3/6 game.
5. If the Terps make it to the semis; their work is not done.  For me to feel safe; they'd need to beat either UNC or Duke and reach the finals. After last night's game; I'd almost rather see Duke.  Even if the Terps lose in the semis; they'll have a reason to watch the selection show.  It's hard to believe; but 4 wins might just do it.
Author: Jeremy | 2/28/2011 1:28:45 PM | Tags: bubble talk, acc tournament |

Outcoached, Outgunned, Outmanned

What a disappointing end to the Terps at-large hopes.  They weren't even in it.  There were only two people associated with the program who deserved a victory tonight:  Terrell Stoglin and Jordan Williams.  I'm depressed, so I will keep this short and sweet. Outcoached:  That zone killed Maryland in the first half.&n [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/27/2011 7:44:55 PM |

Beat UNC; Go Dancing

If the Terps win tonight; the administration should consider changing the mascot to a Phoenix.  Because with a win, the Terps will have risen from the ashes to save yet another season. The task will not be easy.  Carolina has not lost at home all year. However, only a fool would count Gary Williams and the Terps out.  They've done it [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/26/2011 7:44:15 PM | Tags: big games, unc, game thread |

Martin Breunig Is A Terp

The Terps have officially added the 6'9" German phenom to their potent stable of European players.  Breunig joins Icelander, Haukker Palsson and Dutchman Berend Weijs.  Bruenig's can play inside and outside and he is viewed as a major D-I prospect.  His assistant coach, Martin Esters tweeted the news today. As you [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/24/2011 12:55:12 PM | Tags: recruiting, martin brueig |

Terps Trounce FSU; UNC Now Means Something

The Terps played a great game. Granted the last 7 minutes looked ugly; but they were able to extend the lead and FSU is a great defensive team.  It was the Terps best effort of the season. Maryland finally has an RPI 50 win temporarily.  I say that because FSU is teetering on the edge (ranked #50 at tipoff) and will likely drop out to [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/23/2011 9:09:35 PM | Tags: fsu, terrell stoglin, cliff tucker |

Terps Search For Breakthrough vs FSU

Here we are again.  The Terps have yet to prove their mettle against top 50 teams and with season winding down; are in desperate need of a breakthrough. FSU comes to town missing its best player, Chris Singleton.  The 6'9" forward represents 20% of the Seminole's scoring and 25% of the team's blocks.  He's also their leading [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/23/2011 10:08:28 AM |

Terrell Stoglin, A Maestro

[Image flickrUrl="http://www.flickr.com/photos/insidemdsports/5463627294/" url="http://farm6.static.flickr.com/5139/5463627294_367bfb6266.jpg" align="Left" caption="Dino Gregory borrowed Milbourne's shot for the rest of the season." credit="Inside MD Sports"  width="333" height=" [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/20/2011 6:46:03 PM |

NC State Thread

NC State is a bad team, so the Terps should be fine today.  You see, the Terps can't beat good teams, only the bad ones.  State qualifies as bad, so that mean a likely victory. The Terps have virtually no chance of making the Tournament.  Aside from winning out and making a deep run into the ACC Tournament, the Terps are headed t [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/20/2011 8:55:22 AM |

Terps Squander Stoglin's Mastery

For all intents and purposes, the season is now over.  NIT here we come.  Adrian Bowie, Cliff Tucker, and Sean Mosley have gotten worse as the season has progressed.  They have been terrible in this last stretch of games. Despite their dreadful performances; the Terps were in this game to the end thanks to the dazzling play of Te [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/15/2011 7:53:25 PM | Tags: virginia tech, frustration, stoglin |

Virginia Tech Thread

Sorry that I'm late getting the thread up; it's been a busy day at the office.  The Terps need to win their games.  That's the bottom line. Maybe tonight's the night they find some momentum.  Who knows?  It's an opportunity to get a little revenge.  Hopefully, the smell of Cliff Tucker's decomposing corpse won't interfere w [...] Read More »

Author: Jeremy | 2/15/2011 5:54:31 PM | Tags: game thread, virginia tech |
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